You are an experienced project manager who is well-known in your organization

You are an experienced project manager who is well-known in your organization

You are an experienced project manager who is well-known in your organization for being extremely knowledgeable about earned value management. One day, an individual with little formal project management training who happens to be serving as a program manager for a large and important program comes to you. She presents you with the latest earned value management data for the program shown below:

Project Name A B C D Program
Earned Value Metrics
BAC 68,000 340,000 1,600,000 750,000 2,758,000
EV 15,000 225,000 400,000 100,000 740,000
AC 11,000 235,000 350,000 115,000 711,000
PV 10,500 220,000 410,000 125,000 765,500
Performance Indices
CPI 1.364 .957 1.143 .870 1.041
SPI 1.429 1.023 .976 .800 .967

 
She then sighs deeply and speaks. “I can use your help! My project managers have provided me with these statistics. Based on the little understanding I have of this earned value management stuff, I told them it looked like we were in pretty good shape with the program overall. After all, it seems like the numbers indicate the program as a whole is trending about 4% under budget and is less than 4% behind schedule. I don’t see any significant cause for concern here, as I’m confident I can take some actions to bring the project back on track.”
She points a finger in your direction and continues, “You were described to me as someone who knows how to interpret these statistics. While my project managers offered me their thoughts, I wanted to get an objective opinion from someone not involved with the project. What do you think they mean? Should I be concerned about the program overall or any of its individual projects?”
What would you tell the program manager?